Conference · May 14

MVC Conference Championship

Summit Country Day, Cincinnati, OH

Athletic.net meet page

Cougars
0
Marks
0
Events
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Meet hasn't happened yet — these are the projections heading in. MVC Conference Championship runs May 14.

Girls

Conference projection · as of 2026-04-23
Projected team points · Monte Carlo (5,000 trials)
Median
123
P10–P90
113–133
Mean
123.1
Range
84–146
84
90
96
102
108
114
120
126
132
138
144
Per-event probabilities (5,000 trials)
Event Athlete Bucket Win Top 3 Score E[pts]
200 Meters Serena Cyprien LOCK 66% >99% >99% 10.0
4x800 Relay Cincinnati Christian relay UNKNOWN 60% 90% >99% 0.0
100m Hurdles Emmerson Barr UNKNOWN 59% 90% >99% 0.0
300m Hurdles Emmerson Barr UNKNOWN 59% 90% >99% 0.0
Discus Savannah Johnson UNKNOWN 60% 90% >99% 0.0
High Jump Ellie Kimble UNKNOWN 61% 90% >99% 0.0
1600 Meters Emmalyn Umholtz UNKNOWN 60% 90% >99% 0.0
800 Meters Emmalyn Umholtz UNKNOWN 59% 89% >99% 0.0
4x200 Relay Cincinnati Christian relay UNKNOWN 60% 89% >99% 0.0
Shot Put Savannah Johnson UNKNOWN 60% 89% >99% 0.0
100 Meters Serena Cyprien UNKNOWN 59% 89% >99% 0.0
4x100 Relay Cincinnati Christian relay UNKNOWN 59% 89% >99% 0.0
3200 Meters Emmalyn Umholtz UNKNOWN 59% 88% >99% 0.0
4x400 Relay Cincinnati Christian relay UNKNOWN 41% 77% >99% 0.0
400 Meters Hannah Katz TOSS-UP <1% 15% 84% 3.0
Sum of expected per-event points 13.0
Event Cougar Current Conference cut Bucket
100 Meters Serena Cyprien 13.12 UNKNOWN
100m Hurdles Emmerson Barr 22.03 UNKNOWN
1600 Meters Emmalyn Umholtz 5:30.81 UNKNOWN
200 Meters Serena Cyprien 26.28 LOCK · 100%
300m Hurdles Emmerson Barr 51.67 UNKNOWN
3200 Meters Emmalyn Umholtz 11:41.35 UNKNOWN
400 Meters Hannah Katz 1:11.38 TOSS-UP · 50%
4x100 Relay Cincinnati Christian relay 52.84 UNKNOWN
4x200 Relay Cincinnati Christian relay 1:52.05 UNKNOWN
4x400 Relay Cincinnati Christian relay 4:48.60 UNKNOWN
4x800 Relay Cincinnati Christian relay 11:44.44 UNKNOWN
800 Meters Emmalyn Umholtz 2:39.91 UNKNOWN
Discus Savannah Johnson 122'03.0" UNKNOWN
High Jump Ellie Kimble 5'00.0" UNKNOWN
Shot Put Savannah Johnson 28'03.0" UNKNOWN

Boys

Conference projection · as of 2026-04-23
Projected team points · Monte Carlo (5,000 trials)
Median
100
P10–P90
90–109
Mean
100.1
Range
75–122
75
79
83
87
91
95
99
103
107
111
115
119
Per-event probabilities (5,000 trials)
Event Athlete Bucket Win Top 3 Score E[pts]
Discus Tyson Miller LOCK 67% >99% >99% 10.0
4x100 Relay Cincinnati Christian relay LOCK 33% >99% >99% 8.0
300m Hurdles Nathan Jones LOCK 33% >99% >99% 8.0
Shot Put Tyson Miller LOCK 34% >99% >99% 8.0
100 Meters Steven Burton LIKELY 62% 92% >99% 8.1
4x200 Relay Cincinnati Christian relay UNKNOWN 61% 90% >99% 0.0
110m Hurdles Nathan Jones UNKNOWN 61% 90% >99% 0.0
400 Meters Holden Culpepper LIKELY 38% 81% >99% 6.6
3200 Meters Jordan Smith UNKNOWN 41% 77% >99% 0.0
1600 Meters Branson Arnold LOCK <1% 67% >99% 6.0
800 Meters Branson Arnold LIKELY 18% 61% >99% 5.2
4x800 Relay Cincinnati Christian relay TOSS-UP <1% 16% 83% 3.0
Long Jump Holden Culpepper TOSS-UP <1% 15% 83% 3.0
4x400 Relay Cincinnati Christian relay TOSS-UP <1% 15% 83% 3.0
200 Meters Lincoln Womack TOSS-UP <1% 3% 79% 2.2
Sum of expected per-event points 71.1
Event Cougar Current Conference cut Bucket
100 Meters Steven Burton 11.11 LIKELY · 80%
110m Hurdles Nathan Jones 16.44 UNKNOWN
1600 Meters Branson Arnold 5:13.68 LOCK · 94%
200 Meters Lincoln Womack 24.63 TOSS-UP · 40%
300m Hurdles Nathan Jones 42.30 LOCK
3200 Meters Jordan Smith 12:13.72 UNKNOWN
400 Meters Holden Culpepper 54.86 LIKELY · 80%
4x100 Relay Cincinnati Christian relay 46.17 LOCK
4x200 Relay Cincinnati Christian relay 1:36.15 UNKNOWN
4x400 Relay Cincinnati Christian relay 4:07.57 TOSS-UP · 50%
4x800 Relay Cincinnati Christian relay 9:49.04 TOSS-UP · 50%
800 Meters Branson Arnold 2:15.88 LIKELY · 72%
Discus Tyson Miller 94'11.0" LOCK
High Jump Jon Maru NH UNKNOWN
Long Jump Holden Culpepper 16'09.0" TOSS-UP · 50%
Shot Put Tyson Miller 31'07.0" LOCK · 100%
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